Eastern Washington

Conference:	BSky
Expected RPI:	122.0
Current RPI:	122
Expected SOS:	183
Current SOS:	183
Current Record:	18-14
Expected Record:	18-14
Current Conf Record:	15-6
Expected Conf Record:	15-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:	0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:	2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:	4-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:	12-1
Current OOC Record:	3-8
Expected OOC Record:	3-8
Expected OOC RPI:	195
Expected OOC SOS:	90

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
18-14	122.0	100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Eastern Washington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Location	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)
11-12	Washington (71.0)	P12	A	79-69	L	0%
11-14	Stanford (86.0)	P12	A	61-67	W	100%
11-17	UNLV (134.0)	MWC	A	91-76	L	0%
11-20	Georgia St. (120.0)	SB	N	50-68	L	0%
11-22	Eastern Kentucky (271.0)	OVC	N	83-62	W	100%
11-24	Utah (59.0)	P12	A	85-69	L	0%
12-3	Seattle (165.0)	WAC	A	84-65	L	0%
12-7	San Francisco (139.0)	WCC	A	81-71	L	0%
12-10	South Dakota (91.0)	Sum	A	75-73	L	0%
12-12	Wyoming (98.0)	MWC	A	93-88	L	0%
12-17	Cal St. Northridge (340.0)	BW	H	86-58	W	100%
12-29	Northern Colorado (110.0)	BSky	A	88-75	L	0%
12-31	North Dakota (221.0)	BSky	A	64-77	W	100%
1-4	Portland St. (170.0)	BSky	H	81-74	W	100%
1-6	Sacramento St. (309.0)	BSky	H	82-67	W	100%
1-12	Idaho (133.0)	BSky	H	51-58	L	0%
1-18	Northern Arizona (310.0)	BSky	A	76-81	W	100%
1-20	Southern Utah (252.0)	BSky	A	66-62	L	0%
1-25	North Dakota (221.0)	BSky	H	95-71	W	100%
1-27	Northern Colorado (110.0)	BSky	H	67-65	W	100%
2-1	Sacramento St. (309.0)	BSky	A	54-74	W	100%
2-3	Portland St. (170.0)	BSky	A	94-81	L	0%
2-9	Idaho (133.0)	BSky	A	66-64	L	0%
2-15	Montana (76.0)	BSky	H	74-65	W	100%
2-17	Montana St. (283.0)	BSky	H	84-79	W	100%
2-22	Weber St. (162.0)	BSky	A	70-75	W	100%
2-24	Idaho St. (268.0)	BSky	A	69-74	W	100%
3-1	Southern Utah (252.0)	BSky	H	74-51	W	100%
3-3	Northern Arizona (310.0)	BSky	H	85-68	W	100%
3-8	Portland St. (170.0)	BSky	N	78-72	W	100%
3-9	Southern Utah (252.0)	BSky	N	82-70	W	100%
3-10	Montana (76.0)	BSky	N	82-65	L	0%

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Eastern Washington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Eastern Washington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Eastern Washington.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Impact	Exp Impact
Eastern Washington	BSky	26.45	26.45	62.69	62.69	6.71	6.71
Southern Utah	BSky	5.50	5.50	37.04	37.04	-1.43	-1.43
Portland St.	BSky	5.47	5.47	59.26	59.26	1.01	1.01
Montana	BSky	4.22	4.22	79.31	79.31	2.47	2.47
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.07	4.07	62.07	62.07	0.98	0.98
Idaho	BSky	4.06	4.06	66.67	66.67	1.35	1.35
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.02	4.02	17.86	17.86	-2.58	-2.58
Northern Arizona	BSky	3.96	3.96	14.29	14.29	-2.83	-2.83
North Dakota	BSky	3.93	3.93	35.71	35.71	-1.12	-1.12
Idaho St.	BSky	2.63	2.63	44.44	44.44	-0.29	-0.29
Montana St.	BSky	2.55	2.55	37.93	37.93	-0.62	-0.62
Weber St.	BSky	2.52	2.52	62.96	62.96	0.65	0.65
Stanford	P12	1.79	1.79	56.25	56.25	0.22	0.22
UNLV	MWC	1.74	1.74	59.38	59.38	0.33	0.33
Washington	P12	1.74	1.74	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Cal St. Northridge	BW	1.72	1.72	14.81	14.81	-1.21	-1.21
South Dakota	Sum	1.66	1.66	72.41	72.41	0.75	0.75
Utah	P12	1.66	1.66	62.07	62.07	0.40	0.40
San Francisco	WCC	1.64	1.64	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	1.64	1.64	58.06	58.06	0.26	0.26
Seattle	WAC	1.61	1.61	55.17	55.17	0.17	0.17
Georgia St.	SB	1.61	1.61	67.74	67.74	0.57	0.57
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	1.56	1.56	32.14	32.14	-0.56	-0.56
California	P12	0.28	0.28	25.81	25.81	-0.13	-0.13
UC Davis	BW	0.26	0.26	66.67	66.67	0.09	0.09
Washington St.	P12	0.26	0.26	38.71	38.71	-0.06	-0.06
Utah St.	MWC	0.25	0.25	48.48	48.48	-0.01	-0.01
San Jose St.	MWC	0.25	0.25	10.34	10.34	-0.20	-0.20
Oregon St.	P12	0.25	0.25	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.23	0.23	34.48	34.48	-0.07	-0.07
Arizona St.	P12	0.23	0.23	64.52	64.52	0.07	0.07
Boise St.	MWC	0.23	0.23	73.33	73.33	0.11	0.11
UC Irvine	BW	0.21	0.21	48.48	48.48	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.21	0.21	33.33	33.33	-0.07	-0.07
UC Riverside	BW	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.21	0.21	70.00	70.00	0.08	0.08
Pepperdine	WCC	0.21	0.21	16.13	16.13	-0.14	-0.14
Portland	WCC	0.21	0.21	24.14	24.14	-0.11	-0.11
Oregon	P12	0.20	0.20	64.71	64.71	0.06	0.06
Denver	Sum	0.20	0.20	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Arizona	P12	0.20	0.20	79.41	79.41	0.12	0.12
Nevada	MWC	0.20	0.20	79.41	79.41	0.12	0.12
Long Beach St.	BW	0.18	0.18	41.94	41.94	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.18	0.18	33.33	33.33	-0.06	-0.06
Fresno St.	MWC	0.18	0.18	63.33	63.33	0.05	0.05
Colorado	P12	0.17	0.17	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
UCLA	P12	0.17	0.17	65.62	65.62	0.05	0.05
Utah Valley	WAC	0.16	0.16	65.52	65.52	0.05	0.05
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.16	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.15	0.15	24.14	24.14	-0.08	-0.08
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.15	0.15	80.00	80.00	0.09	0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.15	0.15	88.24	88.24	0.11	0.11
San Diego St.	MWC	0.15	0.15	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Pacific	WCC	0.15	0.15	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	BW	0.13	0.13	53.57	53.57	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.13	0.13	24.14	24.14	-0.07	-0.07
BYU	WCC	0.13	0.13	70.59	70.59	0.05	0.05
Saint Mary's	WCC	0.13	0.13	84.85	84.85	0.09	0.09
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.13	0.13	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Troy	SB	0.13	0.13	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.12	0.12	32.26	32.26	-0.04	-0.04
USC	P12	0.12	0.12	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
New Mexico	MWC	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.07	0.03	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	20.00	20.00	-0.06	-0.06
Belmont	OVC	0.10	0.10	72.73	72.73	0.05	0.05
Butler	BE	0.10	0.10	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Duke	ACC	0.10	0.10	78.79	78.79	0.06	0.06
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.10	0.10	45.45	45.45	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.10	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.10	0.10	34.48	34.48	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	37.93	37.93	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa	B10	0.08	0.08	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	87.88	87.88	0.06	0.06
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.08	0.08	83.33	83.33	0.05	0.05
UMKC	WAC	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
UT Rio Grande Valley	WAC	0.08	0.08	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.08	0.08	37.50	37.50	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Miss	CUSA	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SB	0.07	0.07	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
UT Arlington	SB	0.07	0.07	60.61	60.61	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	31.03	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Creighton	BE	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Grambling St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Grand Canyon	WAC	0.05	0.05	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B10	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Florida	Amer	0.05	0.05	31.25	31.25	-0.02	-0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.05	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	ACC	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.05	0.05	12.50	12.50	-0.04	-0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.05	20.00	20.00	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.05	0.05	80.65	80.65	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	SB	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	79.41	79.41	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
George Mason	A10	0.03	0.03	48.48	48.48	-0.00	-0.00
Iona	MAAC	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Kentucky	Horz	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	20.00	20.00	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Milwaukee	Horz	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	SEC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	8.00	8.00	-0.02	-0.02
Saint Louis	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
TCU	B12	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.02	0.02	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SB	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.02	0.02	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	Amer	0.02	0.02	88.24	88.24	0.02	0.02
Coastal Carolina	SB	0.02	0.02	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Liberty	BSth	0.02	0.02	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.02	0.02	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.02	0.02	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.02	0.02	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	57.14	57.14	0.00	0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.02	0.02	44.12	44.12	-0.00	-0.00
Tulane	Amer	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.02	0.02	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.02	0.02	24.24	24.24	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.02	0.02	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.02	0.02	71.43	71.43	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01